AN OBSERVATIONAL, SELF-DEPRECATING, SOMETIMES UNCOMFORTABLE, BUT OCCASIONALLY INSIGHTFUL LOG OF A 20-YEAR-OLD CITY KID'S SARATOGA SUMMER

Wednesday, August 1, 2007

Come on out for ... Fleet Indian Day?!

Really? That horse deserves her own day? Can't wait to be back next year for Friendly Island day, and then um ... Ima Numbers Guy day? What's the over/under on how many people in attendance will be holding their momento win tickets from Fleet Indian's thrilling crawl in the '06 Personal Ensign?

Whatever, at least it's a decent card (minus the dreadful Fleet Indian stake), on which I have a few quick opinions.

Really like the chances of On Fire in the seventh. He ran greenly without Lasix for Phipps/Shug/Johnny in his debut, yet still stayed well during a final eighth in just over 11 seconds. He earned a 9 1/4 TG for the effort, the fastest turf figure anyone in the field has run, so any improvement with the race under the belt and addition of the Bold L would make him a big player, and he's bred well for the stretchout from six furlongs to eight he'll face. He's a fair 6-1 on the ML and I'll bet him to win at 4-1 or higher, plus use him with Kaishu and Surf Academy in the Pick Four. Or I might just scrap the pick four and hammer On Fire in a double with Lemon Shore, who looks like a lock to win the sixth.

Mama Theresa looks like the most logical single in the pick four, although Lauren's Tizzy stands a shot if Kent stays too close to a quick clip or if Mama Theresa bounces large off the last win.

The feature is competitive, but I feel pretty comfortable only going Amansara/Ballet Pacifica/Beat the Band/Mo Cuishie in the pick four, followed by Tears I Cry, Prom Party and Lady Carlock in the finale.

Time to get some snooze for a return to work, here's hoping I don't run anyone over with a golf cart. Good luck on Wednesday's card.

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